About this item

Issue date:
28 April 2023
Corporate Authors:
Health Information Standards Organisation (HISO), Health New Zealand | Te Whatu Ora, Manatū Hauora - Ministry of Health
Document date:
31 May 2019
Copyright status:

Copyright Held by Non-Crown Party

978-1-98-856877-5 (online)


In 2003, the Health Research Council of New Zealand (HRC) funded the PREDICT cohort study. The study’s purpose was to develop new cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction models for the New Zealand population, while simultaneously supporting the implementation of CVD and diabetes guidelines through computerised decision support (Wells et al 2015).

As of December 2017, general practitioners (GPs) and nurses had conducted heart and diabetes checks for over 500,000 patients using the PREDICT web-based platform. With national ethics approval and permission from primary health care providers, unidentifiable data from these checks were sent to the University of Auckland HRC-VIEW research team. Through matching each individual’s encrypted National Health Index (NHI) number to national hospitalisation and mortality data sets, the researchers have developed the first of a series of new CVD risk assessment equations tailored to New Zealand populations.

These equations are described in the 2018 publication Cardiovascular Disease Risk Assessment and Management for Primary Care (Ministry of Health 2018). The equations were updated further in 2018 and released for sector implementation in 2019.